This page provides an overview of our ongoing study of a guaranteed job pilot in Gramatneusiedl, Austria.
The pilot started in October 2020. The evaluation is conducted jointly with Lukas Lehner.
- Dashboard: dashboard_Marienthal.html
- Slides: jobguarantee_basicincome_slides_kasy.pdf
- Pre-analysis plan: PAP_job_guarantee_Marienthal.pdf
- Pre-registration: AEARCTR-0006706
- Code: https://github.com/maxkasy/Marienthal
Our study design is based on two approaches:
- The first approach uses individual-level pairwise randomization of participants into waves.
- The second approach constructs a synthetic control at the municipality level.
We consider multiple different treatment contrasts to separate out direct effects of program participation, anticipation effects of future participation, and municipal level equilibrium effects.
- All residents who are a minimum of 9 months in unemployment are eligible to participate.
- Participation is voluntary.
- The preparatory training phase is scheduled for a maximum of eight weeks.
- After completion of the training phase, participants join the job guarantee program.
- October 2020: Coaching starts (first wave of 31 participants).
- December 2020: Start of employment (first wave of 31 participants).
- February 2021: Coaching starts (second wave of 31 participants).
- April 2021: Start of employment (second wave of 31 participants).
- The program continues for (at least) 3 years up to March 2024.
The following dashboard summarizes the study design and initial findings.
- Our study took place in the same location as a famous study of unemployment in the 1930s, “Marienthal; the sociography of an unemployed community,” by Marie Jahoda, Paul Lazarsfeld, and Hans Zeisel.
- Our visualization at the beginning of the dashboard draws on the “Isotype” system developed by Otto Neurath.